Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 43 · v1

Severe Weather near O'Fallon

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 6 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 21 May 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 9th strongest of the 37 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 21 May 2026. 19 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flood Warning issued May 20 at 2:45PM CDT until May 21 at 6:27PM CDT by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO

Urban PEI: 429,137 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 15 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.79/1
Coordinates39.0707, -90.7437
Nearest CityO'Fallon (29 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)429.1K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-22T04:17:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.09bd918f7d2ffa2b58f220a50a4833ab

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-05-22T04:17:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-05-20T21:33:50.190Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventFlood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescBates, MO; Cass, MO; Henry, MO; Cass, MO; Henry, MO; Johnson, MO; Callaway, MO; Osage, MO and 39 more areas
HeadlineFlood Warning issued May 20 at 2:45PM CDT until May 21 at 6:27PM CDT by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
Expires2026-05-21T14:45:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount46
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Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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